30 July 2020 16:31
With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. EMBED>More News Videos President Donald Trump doubled down on his dubious COVID-19 claims, defending a video that was taken down by Twitter and other social media platforms for spreading misinformation. WASHINGTON--President Donald Trump is for the first time floating a "delay" to the Nov. 3 presidential election, as he makes unsubstantiated allegations that increased mail-in voting will result in fraud.The dates of presidential elections--the Tuesday after the first Monday in November in every fourth year--are enshrined in federal law and would require an act of Congress to change. The Constitution makes no provisions for a delay to the Jan. 20, 2021 presidential inauguration.Trump tweeted Thursday: "With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???"His tweet came on a day of bad economic news--the government reported that U.S. economy shrank at a dizzying 32.9% annual rate in the April-June quarter, by far the worst quarterly plunge ever, as the coronavirus outbreak shut down businesses, threw tens of millions out of work and sent unemployment surging to 14.7%.There is no evidence of widespread voter fraud through mail-in voting, even in states with all-mail votes.
Five states already rely exclusively on mail-in ballots, and they say they have necessary safeguards in place to ensure that a hostile foreign actor doesn't disrupt the vote. Election security experts say that all forms of voter fraud are rare, including absentee balloting.Trump has increasingly sought to cast doubt on November's election and the expected surge in mail-in and absentee voting as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. His campaign and the Republican Party have sued to combat the practice, which was once a significant advantage for the GOP.Trailing in public and private polls, Trump refused in an interview just weeks ago with Fox News to commit to accept the results of the upcoming White House election, recalling a similar threat he made weeks before the 2016 vote."I have to see. I have to see," Trump told moderator Chris Wallace during a wide-ranging interview on "Fox News Sunday." "No, I'm not going to just say 'yes.' I'm not going to say 'no,' and I didn't last time, either."Last month, Trump told supporters in Arizona that "This will be, in my opinion, the most corrupt election in the history of our country."Just months ago, in April, Trump had ruled out the prospect of trying to change the election. "Not at all."Attorney General William Barr, speaking to a House committee earlier this week, claimed there was "a high risk" that mail-in voting would lead to "massive" fraud.
Determining the ebb and flow of the campaigns and who is having success with voters will look different. Jonathan Ernst/Reuters I predict more than 150 million people will cast ballots in this year's elections--setting a level not seen in our history (136.7 million voted in 2016). Those voters are likely to decide states in the Electoral College and key Senate and House races. We are likely to see significant differences in polls based on whether they have a high- or low-turnout model. I would default to broad polling as opposed to too-restrictive, high-turnout likely voter models.
Carlos Barria/Reuters More voters in America will cast their ballots prior to Election Day than ever before, making the need to cover the campaigns in the many days leading up to Nov. 3 as important as covering the day itself. In some states, nearly all voters will have cast their ballots prior to last-minute campaigning. In other states, more than half of the voters will have already voted. Because of the emotion tied up in this election, we must all be cognizant of lowering temperatures as opposed to raising temperatures in how we talk about politics leading up to and on Election Day. Many races or states could easily be undecided on election night, and we must allow results to unfold slowly and methodically without jumping the gun in decision-making. It is my hope we will adapt to this disruptive change and begin to create new political and media models for the America of the 21st century. Without necessary additional funding from Congress, we run the risk of delayed or contested election results, long lines and crowding that threaten the safety of voters and poll workers, and limited voting access to rural voters, seniors and veterans. Through the support of Congress and President Donald Trump, state and local governments were granted $400 million to support elections staff this year. The GOP-proposed relief package currently being debated on Capitol Hill did not include any additional funding to ensure a smooth election in November; we strongly encourage congressional leadership to heed the concerns of local election authorities and reconsider this decision. In a recent poll from President Trump's own pollster, 78 percent of voters agreed that it was important for the federal government to provide additional funding to state and local governments "to cover the increased costs of conducting elections due to the coronavirus outbreak." This year's election will have additional costs whether a state predominantly votes in-person, by absentee or mail, or a combination of both. In most states, the $400 million appropriated earlier this year has already been dedicated to purchasing personal protective equipment for poll workers, stocking cleaning supplies for polling locations, increasing poll worker compensation and covering higher mailing costs due to an uptick in voters choosing to vote absentee. An election worker helps a person voting from her car submit a ballot on the campus of Brigham Young University. Even Weber County, Utah, already a vote by mail county, exceeded its June primary budget by more than a third — $50,000 — to ensure the safety of those who do vote in person on Election Day. Many local election officials need even more significant investments to replace aging voting machines and shore up absentee ballot security, but federal funding has already been exhausted. In fact, a study from the R Street Institute found that the election support provided by the CARES Act only covered a small fraction — from 10 to 18 percent in states analyzed — of what is required. In Wisconsin, where the state's Elections Commission reported four times as many absentee ballot requests compared to 2016, many voters did not receive their requested ballots in time. Some voters waited hours to cast their ballots, and polling locations stayed open long after they were set to close. Congress and the president cannot risk compromising our elections by underfunding state and local election authorities during these unusual and challenging times. DETROIT – Detroit City Clerk Janice Winfrey will hold a news briefing at 11 a.m. Thursday to discuss election reparations, absentee voting and safety protocols for voting in person for the Michigan Primary Election on Aug. 4. In-person voting will still be available for the 2020 Michigan Primary Election on Aug. 4 amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic--however, all Michigan voters now have the option to vote by mail with an absentee ballot. Officials are encouraging Michigan voters to return absentee ballots in person instead of by mail as election day approaches.