12 November 2019 12:42
Shattered Labor supporters watch a broadcast of the vote count. Journalists at Labor's election party in Melbourne are describing the mood as "sombre." Just hours earlier on Saturday, the party faithful were looking at an exit poll stating they would win government with 52% of the vote. Now analysts say they are unlikely to even be able to form minority government, with the Liberal National coalition in a good position to be returned. "It feels like they're shell-shocked, they thought they were going to win, very optimistic at the start of the night and now silence," CNN-affiliate Sky News journalist Kieran Gilbert said. "This was the unlosable election for the Labor Party, that's how this was considered," ABC's Patricia Karvelas said from the Melbourne event.
Our election experts say there will be no clear government tonight, and Labor is extremely unlikely to win. Labor scrutineers tell news.com.au older voters have punished the party for its higher-taxing agenda. He says there is a "95 per cent" certainty the Coalition will win the election with either a minority or majority government. "The only way I can't see a Coalition victory in this election is if they get minority status and then the kind of individuals who are holding safe Liberal seats do what Oakeshott and Windsor did in 2010," van Onselen said. "I don't see that happening with the nature of what they've said pre-the election." In 2010, Rob Oakeshott and Tony Windsor decided to support a Labor minority government even though their seats were traditionally quite conservative.
Sales asked Mr Morrison why, when he was serving as treasurer under former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull, he abstained from voting in the same-sex marriage plebiscite. Mr Morrison told Sales he abstained because he didn't want to "get in the way". When pressed further about what exactly that meant, the Prime Minister said he had always maintained the same position. "I always said I wouldn't stand in the way of that, if that was the will of the Australian people," Mr Morrison said. Sales asked again: "Why did you abstain from the vote?" He replied: "Because I said I wouldn't stand in the way of it, and that's consistent with the position I've taken with that issue over a long period of time." Sales said: "I don't understand what you mean by 'didn't want to get in the way', because you needed to abstain." "And I'm so pleased now that is not an issue that's before this election at all. Sales then asked the Prime Minister to explain what he believed about God. "I'm running for Prime Minister. "And that's what my church community does and every church community I've been part of, including my parents who served in their local youth organisations for 45 years, every Thursday and Friday school night, my parents were there, running boys and girls brigade for young people in our community. Sales asked him about cultivating his "daggy dad" image, but pushed if he was actually more of a strategic player. "What people have seen of me, Leigh, is what I'm like each and every day with my family, my friends, in my community," Morrison said. "Anyone who enters into politics is ambitious to serve and for me it's not about power or any of these things, as I said at the Press Club today. Older Australians who have saved for their retirement and being able to enjoy it independently and without having their savings taken away from them which is what Labor is proposing." Seven signs to watch for on election night (and only two involve Antony Green) You've made it through five weeks of campaigning and tonight is election night. Some will be hosting election parties. Whatever your plans, here are seven things to look out for as the votes come in. The polls are tight and in the close contests of 2010 and 2016 the final result wasn't clear on election night. Plus huge numbers of pre-poll votes mean the result in some booths won't be clear for days. Opinion polling during the campaign has shown Labor is the favourite to form government. If the polls carry over to the election results, prominent Coalition members in marginal seats will be struggling to hold on. Former prime minister Tony Abbott in Warringah (11.1%) While all eyes are on the Lower House to see who claims government, the Senate is where the business of Parliament really happens. But in this campaign there is a streamlined voting system and a new ABC results page, which assesses each Senate race with "won", "likely" and "ahead". It gives Australians a better-than-ever glimpse of just how pesky the red chamber might be for the new prime minister. But with Wentworth and Indi under strong pressure from the Coalition, and Julia Banks moving from Chisholm to Flinders, there's a chance the Lower House crossbench might actually shrink. The party won't get near a Lower House seat according to polling. But it could match or even exceed the return of the old Palmer United Party, which secured three Senators in 2013. Until the 1990s it was rare for minor parties to secure more than one in 10 votes in the Lower House. That meant the duopoly of Labor and the Coalition gobbling up the other nine. Minor parties have doubled their support, and it has dragged down voting for the so-called majors. Labor has secured 40 per cent only once in the past two decades, while the Coalition is at risk of dropping below this level this time around. Topics: government-and-politics, federal-election, australia Television networks spare little effort when planning election day coverage and for Network 10, 2019's prime ministerial showdown is a chance to dive head-first back into Australian politics' night of nights. Network 10 had no rolling coverage of the 2016 federal poll, but a beefed-up stable of political talent means the network has decided to challenge its television rivals on Saturday. "Elections are serious things but you win no prizes for boring people to death on election night," Network 10 director of news content, Ross Dagan, said.